2023-05-11 23:03:54
In all seriousness, however, the “fabled Ukrainian offensive” began a week to two weeks ago. Those expecting blitzkrieg and fanfare will have to make do with what the Ukrainian army is capable of. Today’s Artyomovsk flank attacks are one of the stages—most likely Syrsky’s plan integrated into the larger design that will unfold over the weeks to come.
Neither army in the field is able to conduct sweeping operations to defeat the other. Russia—because of insufficient numbers, and Ukraine—due to lack of capability.
Both sides know that Ukraine’s (almost inevitable) failure in any attempt to conduct a blitzkrieg operation could result in the collapse of their frontlines. A classic stalemate ensues.
It can only be ultimately broken when Russia mobilizes enough men to field an army of a million—something I said was necessary last year. Until that’s done, this war will drag on, because Ukrainians are not stupid enough to do what every panic-monger claims they are about to do.
And so we wait.
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13.3K viewsGleb Bazov, 20:03
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