2023-07-04 05:53:44
*Automotive Parts Sector - Proxy to Indonesia's Emergence as an Automotive Hub*
_Trimegah – Richard, Willi_
https://bit.ly/autopartstrimegah
We initiate a sector report on automotive part sector as we think prominent automotive-parts players in Indonesia, such as PT Astra Otoparts (AUTO) and PT Dharma Polimetal (DRMA), offer a prime opportunity to tap into the country's thriving automotive sector and position themselves as key players in Indonesia's emergence as an Automotive Hub.
As the domestic 4-wheeled (4W) market expands and exports remain robust, coupled with the ongoing recovery of the 2-wheeled (2W) sales, auto-part manufacturers stand to benefit from the increasing volume. Additionally, with the transition of Indonesia's automotive sector toward Electric Vehicles (EVs), including Hybrid EVs (HEVs) and Battery EVs (BEVs), the government's support for local manufacturing and supply chains for EV components and parts presents further growth prospects. Moreover, the aftermarket and replacement markets hold significant potential due to the continuous growth of the vehicle population and the vast, yet fragmented, market, providing ample opportunities for expansion.
*AUTO is our top pick for the auto-part sector, with a TP of IDR4,350/share based on a 24F PE of 11.9x.* We like AUTO on the back of:
1) valuation re-rating due to its trading business which has exposure in automotive aftermarket replacement and replacement markets (58% contribution on FY22 earnings);
2) structural margin expansion due to automation and operating efficiency;
3) growth prospects as an OEM that is exposed to the EV transition (HEV and BEV) and large replacement market.
*We are also bullish on DRMA because of its superior growth prospect and profitability. We re-initiate DRMA with a BUY and a TP of IDR1,750/share.* Our new target price is set at 13.9x 24F P/E, which we think is justified given the superior margin and high ROE.
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